Here's the headline you'll find in every points valuation roundup published this spring. The Points Guy values Chase Ultimate Rewards at 2.05¢ per point, American Express Membership Rewards at 2.0¢, Citi ThankYou Rewards at 1.9¢, and Capital One Miles at 1.85¢ as of May 2026(1). Four numbers within a 10% spread, treated in most coverage as roughly interchangeable. They're not.
The real differences show up in the data most comparisons skip. What's the floor value if you don't transfer at all? What's the actual ceiling for premium cabin redemptions? How many transfer partners convert at a true 1:1 ratio (not just on paper)? And which program has a sweet spot that genuinely outperforms the others for your specific travel style?
This is a practitioner-level benchmarking report, not a marketing summary. We scored each program across five dimensions: peak redemption ceiling, floor value guarantees, transfer partner depth and ratios, portal vs. transfer flexibility, and best use case breadth. Total possible score: 25.
By the end, you'll know which program fits your travel profile, with a decision tree at the bottom to confirm it.
The valuation baseline — what these numbers actually mean
TPG's May 2026 valuations represent what a sophisticated redeemer can extract from each program at peak performance. They assume international business or first class redemptions through specific transfer partners and luxury hotel bookings near the top of award charts(1)(2). That's not what most cardholders actually do.
A typical cardholder books economy flights or redeems through a portal. In that scenario, the relevant comparison isn't 2.05¢ vs. 1.85¢. It's closer to 1.0¢ vs. 0.6¢, depending on how each program's floor is structured.
The 10% spread at the top of the valuation table obscures a much wider gap at the floor. The scoring matrix below treats TPG's valuation as one input, not the answer.
TPG May 2026 Headline Valuations
Program |
Valuation |
What it assumes |
|---|---|---|
Chase Ultimate Rewards |
2.05¢ / point |
Transfer to Hyatt luxury or ANA / Virgin Atlantic First Class |
Amex Membership Rewards |
2.0¢ / point |
Transfer to ANA First Class via Virgin Atlantic |
Citi ThankYou Rewards |
1.9¢ / point |
Transfer to Qatar Qsuites via Privilege Club |
Capital One Miles |
1.85¢ / mile |
Transfer to Avianca LifeMiles for Star Alliance routing |
Source: The Points Guy May 2026 Valuations(1)(2).
The five-dimension scoring matrix
Each program scores 1 to 5 across five dimensions (5 = best in class). The table below shows the totals; what follows explains how the scores were assigned.
Dimension |
Chase UR |
Amex MR |
Capital One |
Citi TY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Peak Redemption Ceiling |
4 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
Floor Value Guarantee |
5 |
2 |
5 |
5 |
Transfer Partner Depth |
3 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
Portal vs. Transfer Flexibility |
5 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
Best Use Case Breadth |
5 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
Total Score |
22 / 25 |
17 / 25 |
19 / 25 |
20 / 25 |
Peak redemption ceiling
Amex scores 5. ANA First Class booked via Virgin Atlantic yields 6.5 to 8.0¢ per point, the highest ceiling in the category(2). Qatar Qsuites via Qatar Privilege Club adds another sweet spot at roughly 5.5¢+(2)(5). Chase(4) and Citi(4) follow with strong ceilings on Hyatt luxury and Qatar routing(1)(2)(7)(8). Capital One(3) tops out around 3.5 to 4.5¢ via Avianca LifeMiles(3)(4).
Floor value guarantee
Chase, Capital One, and Citi all score 5 with a 1.0¢ floor (statement credit, fixed portal rate, or cash-out option)(1)(2)(3)(4)(7)(8). Amex scores 2 with a roughly 0.6¢ floor on cash and gift cards(2). For cardholders who don't actively execute premium transfers, that gap quietly compounds across years of spending.
Transfer partner depth
Capital One scores 5 with 22 partners, but five transfer at unfavorable ratios (more on that below)(3)(4). Citi(4) and Amex(4) follow at 21 and 20 partners(2)(5)(7)(8). Chase scores 3 with only 13 partners, all at 1:1, including exclusive World of Hyatt and Southwest Rapid Rewards relationships(1)(2).
Portal vs. transfer flexibility
Chase scores 5. Premium-tier Chase cardholders earn 1.25 to 1.5¢ on portal bookings, and Chase Points Boost recently hit 2.5¢ per point on 11 luxury hotels, the highest portal rate ever recorded(1). Citi and Capital One both score 3 with a flat 1.0¢ portal rate(3)(7)(8). Amex scores 2 with no competitive portal redemption(2)(5).
Best use case breadth
Chase scores 5 with strong coverage across U.S. domestic travel, luxury hotels, and international premium cabin. Amex(4) is the international premium cabin specialist. Citi(4) owns the AA flyer use case. Capital One(3) is the most accessible program for casual travelers who value optionality over optimization.
Program deep dives
Chase Ultimate Rewards — the most balanced program
TPG May 2026 valuation: 2.05¢ per point(1). Chase has 13 transfer partners (10 airline + 3 hotel), and every one transfers at 1:1(1)(2). The portal pays 1.0¢ as a baseline and 1.25 to 1.5¢ for premium-tier cardholders. Chase Points Boost pushed select luxury hotels to 2.5¢ per point in May 2026, the highest portal rate any program has hit(1). Floor value sits at roughly 1.0¢ via statement credit or portal redemption.
Two transfer relationships are exclusive: World of Hyatt at 1:1 (no other major flexible currency offers Hyatt) and Southwest Rapid Rewards(1)(2). Sweet spots include Hyatt luxury (3.5 to 6.0¢), ANA First Class via Virgin Atlantic (4.5 to 7.0¢), Aeroplan stopovers (5.0 to 6.5¢), and Southwest or United domestic (3.0 to 5.0¢)(1)(2).
Two time-sensitive notes. The World of Hyatt award chart overhaul takes effect May 20, 2026: Category 8 maximums rise from 45,000 to 75,000 points per night, with 112 properties moving up(1). Some of Chase's highest-value Hyatt redemptions become more expensive after that date. Air Canada Aeroplan is also increasing partner redemption rates June 1, 2026(1). Aeroplan stopover bookings should be confirmed before then.
Chase also has a no-fee card ecosystem. The Freedom-branded cards earn points that pool with a premium Chase travel card, which lets cardholders build transferable points without committing to multiple annual fees.
American Express Membership Rewards — the premium cabin specialist
TPG May 2026 valuation: 2.0¢ per point(1). Amex has 20 transfer partners (17 airline + 3 hotel)(2)(5). The Amex Travel portal does not offer a competitive fixed-rate redemption option, and the floor value drops to roughly 0.6¢ for cash, gift cards, or merchandise. That's the weakest floor of the four programs(2).
Two specifics most articles bury. First, Amex charges a 60¢ fee per 1,000 points transferred to U.S. domestic airline partners, capped at $99 per transfer(2)(5). That excise tax materially reduces the effective value of Amex points for any domestic airline redemption and is rarely disclosed prominently in valuation summaries. Second, transfers to Etihad Guest were recently announced as ending(2). Any routing strategy that relied on Etihad for Gulf connections is no longer viable.
The exclusives that justify the program: Qatar Airways Privilege Club for Qsuites access, Hilton Honors at a 1:2 transfer ratio (1 Amex point converts to 2 Hilton points), and the Virgin Atlantic gateway to ANA First Class(2)(5). Sweet spots include ANA First via Virgin Atlantic at 6.5 to 8.0¢ (best in class), Aeroplan stopovers at 5.0 to 6.5¢, Qatar Qsuites at roughly 5.5¢+, and Hilton luxury resorts at 2.0 to 4.0¢(2)(5).
The honest read: Amex is built for international business and first class travelers who will actively research and execute premium cabin transfers. For casual users who want a reliable fallback, the 0.6¢ floor and the domestic transfer fee make Amex a structurally weaker fit.
Capital One Miles — the widest network
TPG May 2026 valuation: 1.85¢ per mile(1). Capital One has 22 transfer partners (18 airline + 4 hotel), the largest raw network of the four programs(3)(4). Portal redemptions pay exactly 1.0¢ per mile (fixed, no boost), and the floor sits at the same 1.0¢(3)(4).
The headline that needs an asterisk: five of those 22 partners transfer at unfavorable sub-1:1 ratios. Emirates Skywards, EVA Air, and JAL Mileage Bank all transfer at 2:1.5. JetBlue TrueBlue transfers at 5:3. Accor Live Limitless transfers at 2:1(3). For full-value redemptions, the practical partner count is closer to 17 than 22. NerdWallet's transfer value estimate for Capital One Miles, based on the highest-value partner (Avianca LifeMiles), is roughly 1.6¢(4).
Sweet spots include Avianca LifeMiles for Star Alliance routing with no fuel surcharges (Capital One's strongest play), Air Canada Aeroplan at 1:1, Singapore Airlines KrisFlyer for Suites access, and British Airways Avios for short-haul redemptions(3)(4). The Aeroplan rate increase effective June 1, 2026 affects Capital One holders too(1). Best fit: casual-to-intermediate travelers who want broad airline coverage without committing to a specific loyalty program.
Citi ThankYou Rewards — the AA flyer's best option
TPG May 2026 valuation: 1.9¢ per point(1). Citi has 21 transfer partners (15 airline + 5 hotel + 1 events)(7)(8). The portal pays a flat 1.0¢, and the floor is also 1.0¢ via the cash-out option.
The critical caveat that's commonly missed: Citi's transfer ratios depend on which Citi card the holder carries. Premium-tier Citi cards (Strata Elite and Strata Premier) get full 1:1 ratios on most partners. Lower-tier Citi cards (Double Cash, Custom Cash, base Strata) get only 1:0.7 on most airline partners, a 30% haircut(7)(8). Anyone planning a transfer strategy needs to confirm the card tier first; this single detail can quietly cut redemption value by a third.
The unique advantage: American Airlines AAdvantage. Citi ThankYou is the only major flexible currency program with a direct 1:1 transfer to AA. Chase, Amex, and Capital One do not offer AA transfers(7)(8). For AA loyalists, that isn't a footnote; it's the deciding factor. Citi also transfers to EVA Air Infinity MileageLands at 1:1, where Capital One transfers at 2:1.5 for Taiwanese routings(7)(8).
Two timing notes. Citi is ending the ability to share ThankYou Points between cardmembers effective May 17, 2026(6). The Choice Privileges transfer ratio also dropped from 1:2 to 1:1.5 effective April 19, 2026, still the most favorable hotel transfer ratio for that partner among the four programs, but a step down(7).
Sweet spots include American Airlines premium cabin (strong for transatlantic redemptions), Qatar Qsuites via Qatar Privilege Club (~5.5¢+), JetBlue Mint at roughly 1.4¢, and Choice Privileges Sherry-Netherland NYC at roughly 2.1¢(7)(8).
The exclusive partner advantage
Beyond raw partner count, the strategic value of a transferable points program often comes down to which partners are exclusive to it. A single exclusive relationship with an airline or hotel brand you actually use can outweigh five interchangeable ones.
Chase exclusives: World of Hyatt at 1:1 (no other major flexible currency offers Hyatt) and Southwest Rapid Rewards(1)(2). Hyatt is the most consequential of the bunch because the combination of fixed award chart pricing and luxury property availability is rare in the points-and-miles ecosystem.
Amex notable: the Hilton Honors 1:2 multiplier (1 Amex point converts to 2 Hilton points) and the strongest combined access to ANA First Class via Virgin Atlantic(2)(5). Qatar Privilege Club is shared with Citi, but Amex's overall premium cabin partner mix is unmatched.
Citi exclusive: American Airlines AAdvantage. No other major transferable currency has direct AA transfers, and that's a structural lock-in for AA loyalists(7)(8). Capital One notable: Avianca LifeMiles is shared with Amex and Citi, but Capital One's positioning around LifeMiles for fuel-surcharge-free Star Alliance bookings is the strongest single sweet spot in its program(3).
Practical upshot: before choosing or stacking programs, list the airlines and hotel brands you actually use most. An exclusive partnership with your preferred program is often worth more than 10 generic ones.
Portal vs. transfer — when each option wins
The portal vs. transfer decision isn't a permanent preference. It's a booking-by-booking calculation, and running it before every transfer is the most valuable habit a cardholder can build.
The breakeven formula: CPP = Cash price ÷ Points required. If the transfer yields more cents per point than the portal rate, transfer wins. If it doesn't, use the portal.
When the portal wins:
- Booking economy domestic flights where award availability is thin or fees eat any savings.
- Last-minute trips where there's no time to research award space and confirm transfers.
- Chase Points Boost is active on the property at 2.0 to 2.5¢ per point, which can match or beat certain transfer redemptions(1).
- The flight or hotel isn't covered by any transfer partner.
When the transfer wins:
- Booking international business or first class, where the cash price is dramatically higher than the award rate.
- Booking a partner with a fixed award chart (like World of Hyatt before its May 20, 2026 overhaul) where the points cost is locked regardless of cash price(1)(2).
- You've confirmed award space, the partner has no fuel surcharges, and you can book in the same session.
A concrete example using May 2026 data. Business class round-trip to Japan, cash price roughly $4,800. ANA via Virgin Atlantic costs 88,000 points round-trip. That works out to $4,800 ÷ 88,000 = 5.45¢ per point. The same trip booked through a portal at 1.5¢ would require 320,000 points. The transfer wins by 232,000 points(2).
Run the same calculation in reverse for an economy domestic round-trip and the math often flips: at low cash prices and modest portal rates, the portal can match or beat a transfer to Southwest once fees are factored in.
The irreversibility rule. Transfers are instant and permanent on all four programs. Never transfer until you've confirmed award space at your expected price and dates in the same session. This is the most common (and most expensive) mistake in points optimization.
Which program wins for your travel profile
The five-dimension matrix maps cleanly onto travel profiles. The table below pairs each profile with the recommended program.
Travel Profile |
Best Program |
Why |
|---|---|---|
International business or first class (Europe / Asia / Middle East) |
Amex Membership Rewards |
ANA First via Virgin Atlantic (6.5 to 8.0¢), Aeroplan stopovers, Qatar Qsuites. Peak ceiling unmatched(1)(2). |
Luxury hotel maximizer |
Chase Ultimate Rewards |
World of Hyatt at 1:1. No other major flexible currency offers Hyatt(1)(2). |
U.S. domestic and short-haul |
Chase Ultimate Rewards |
Southwest Rapid Rewards and United MileagePlus both accessible from Chase. Strong domestic CPP(1)(2). |
American Airlines loyalist |
Citi ThankYou Rewards |
Only major flexible currency with direct 1:1 AA AAdvantage transfer(7)(8). |
Partner optionality / casual traveler |
Capital One Miles |
22 partners, 1.0¢ floor, accessible without deep loyalty program expertise(3)(4). |
Floor value safety / occasional redeemer |
Chase, Citi, or Capital One |
All maintain a 1.0¢ floor. Amex's 0.6¢ floor is a liability for infrequent optimizers(1)(7)(8). |
Multi-program optimizer |
Chase + Amex |
Chase for domestic and hotels; Amex for premium international. Two programs that complement without overlap(2). |
Chase shows up three times because it's the most balanced program: strong ceiling, 1.0¢ floor, exclusive Hyatt and Southwest partnerships, and the only competitive portal in the category. Amex earns the international premium cabin slot decisively but loses ground elsewhere; the 0.6¢ floor and the 60¢-per-1,000 domestic transfer fee aren't deal-breakers if you're flying first class to Tokyo every few years, but they're disqualifying if you're not(2)(5).
Citi's AA partnership is a rare structural advantage; if American Airlines is your primary carrier, Citi solves a problem no other program can solve(7)(8). Capital One's positioning is more about accessibility than peak performance, with a 22-partner network that covers most major airlines on a shallow learning curve(3)(4).
The decision-tree cheat sheet — pick your program
Here's a decision tree to confirm your program. Work through it top to bottom; the first "yes" routes you to a recommendation.
Note: these recommendations assume a premium-tier card within each program, which is what unlocks full 1:1 transfer ratios. This is especially critical for Citi, where lower-tier cards receive only 1:0.7 on most airline partners, effectively a 30% haircut(7)(8).
The bottom line
The four headline valuations (2.05¢ / 2.0¢ / 1.9¢ / 1.85¢) span a 10% range that obscures a much wider divergence. Floor values, partner depth, transfer reliability, and use case breadth separate these programs far more than the TPG numbers alone suggest(1).
The honest summary:
- Amex is the ceiling champion, but only for cardholders who will execute complex international premium cabin transfers. The 0.6¢ floor and the 60¢ per 1,000 domestic transfer fee make it a liability for casual users(2).
- Chase is the most balanced program. Strong ceiling, 1.0¢ floor, the best portal in the category, and exclusive Hyatt and Southwest partnerships(1)(2).
- Citi is the AA specialist with a strong floor and a broad partner network. Especially valuable if American Airlines is your primary carrier(7)(8).
- Capital One offers the widest network but loses points for unfavorable transfer ratios on five partners. Best for travelers who value optionality over optimization(3)(4).
Use the decision tree above to identify your program. Then run the breakeven math before every transfer. The headline valuation is just a starting point; the trip you actually book is the answer.
Compare your next move
Before you transfer points or commit to a new program, run the breakeven math on your next trip. If you're weighing which program to build around, return to the decision tree above and confirm your fit before adding a card to the lineup.
If you're looking for a smarter catch-all card to round out a points ecosystem you already have, the Chase Freedom Unlimited is worth a close look. It earns a flat rate on every dollar you spend with no category tracking required, and its points pool directly with a premium Chase travel card, meaning every purchase feeds the same balance you'll eventually transfer to Hyatt, United, or Virgin Atlantic. For a no-annual-fee card, the math is hard to argue with.
Disclosures
Editorial independence: Greensprout's editorial team writes on behalf of the reader. Our goal is to provide clear, useful information to help you make better financial decisions. Our editorial content is not influenced by advertiser relationships.
Affiliate disclosure: Greensprout is an independent, advertising-supported publisher and comparison resource. We may earn compensation when you click on links to products from our partners. This does not affect our editorial standards or recommendations.
Data accuracy: All program data, valuations, and transfer ratios cited in this article reflect publicly reported information as of May 2026. Programs, partners, and ratios are subject to change without notice. Confirm current terms with each program before initiating a transfer.
Reference list
1. The Points Guy — "What Are Points and Miles Worth? TPG's May 2026 Valuations" — https://thepointsguy.com/loyalty-programs/monthly-valuations/
2. Roaming Cactus Luxury Travel — "Amex Membership Rewards vs. Chase Ultimate Rewards 2026: Which Currency Wins for Transfers?" — https://roamingcactus.com/points-miles/2026/4/6/amex-membership-rewards-vs-chase-ultimate-rewards-2026-which-currency-wins-for-transfers
3. NerdWallet — "Best Capital One Transfer Partners 2026" — https://www.nerdwallet.com/travel/learn/best-capital-one-transfer-partners
4. NerdWallet — "Capital One Miles Value: How Much Are They Worth?" — https://www.nerdwallet.com/travel/learn/capital-one-miles-value
5. NerdWallet — "American Express Membership Rewards: How to Maximize Your Points" — https://www.nerdwallet.com/travel/learn/amex-points-vs-chase-points
6. The Points Guy — "Citi Is Ending ThankYou Points Sharing in May 2026" — https://thepointsguy.com/news/citi-ending-thankyou-points-sharing-may-2026/
7. NerdWallet — "Best Citi ThankYou Transfer Partners 2026" — https://www.nerdwallet.com/travel/learn/best-citi-thankyou-transfer-partners
8. NerdWallet — "Citi ThankYou Points Value: How Much Are They Worth?" — https://www.nerdwallet.com/travel/learn/citi-thankyou-points-value





